Profile

Baygon2014
Strong NT ✓
5 card majors ✓
Weak 2s ✓
Transfers ✓
follow
Activity Following Followers Invite

Activity

Feb 17 2019 Progress +2.3
1 4 by NS 420 74.4%
Baygon2014 wrote I cant say I know the odds but I do know that the rough rule of thumb is to play for the drop. Like you that is what I did. But on reflection it may have been wiser to look for the finesse - you can see from your hand that irrespective of where the queen is located you will make your ten tricks. The finesse has the potential to give you an extra trick so perhaps we both would have been better off, in this instance at least, to go for trhe finesse. What say you @graeme?
graeme wrote @Janemart, @Baygon2014, it’s slightly better to play for the drop here, even though in this case it doesn’t work. In fact this is the exact situation where the ‘eight ever, nine never’ applies. 8 card fit, missing the Queen = ‘ever’ finesse 9 card fit missing the Queen = ‘never’ finesse. Keep in mind that this only applies when there are no other clues to go on and particularly in the case of a 9-card fit the odds are pretty close. None of these rules of thumb apply in every situation. For example, you’re supposed to neither a lender nor a borrower be but I just borrowed $20 from my Mum. ( ‘cos Dad said no )
2 2NT by EW -150 78.7%
3 4 by EW 100 100%
4 2 by NS 170 99.1%
5 3NT by NS 600 37%
6 4 by NS -50 74.7%
7 1NT by NS 90 95.1%
8 4 by NS 450 91.1%
9 2 by EW -170 83.4%
10 4 by EW -680 16.9%
 
Feb 16 2019 Progress +0.7
1 1NT by EW 50 84%
2 3 by NS 130 98%
3 3NT by NS -50 14.9%
4 5 by NS 620 97.1%
5 2 by EW -140 30.3%
6 4 by NS 420 97.9%
7 3NT by NS 600 81.4%
8 4 by NS 420 69.9%
9 3NT by EW -630 87.5%
10 2 by EW -110 73.1%
 
Feb 15 2019 Progress +0.2
1 5 by EW 50 78.8%
2 3NT by EW 50 100%
3 4 by NS 450 98.4%
4 4 by NS 680 95.3%
5 3NT by NS 630 72.5%
6 1NT by NS 120 60.1%
7 1NT by EW -90 94.4%
8 5X by NS -500 14.5%
9 3 by NS 140 62.2%
10 3NT by NS 600 52.8%
 
Feb 14 2019 Progress +2.6
1 1NT by EW 100 44.9%
2 1NT by EW 100 84.1%
3 3 by EW 200 99.7%
4 6 by NS -100 9.7%
5 2 by NS 110 87.3%
6 3NT by NS 430 62.5%
7 4 by EW 100 66.8%
8 4 by NS 480 98.4%
9 4 by EW -680 99.4%
10 4 by NS 650 99.9%
 
Feb 13 2019 Progress -1.5
1 2 by NS -100 69.6%
2 3 by NS -100 59.2%
3 3 by NS -50 83.3%
4 3 by NS 170 48.9%
5 3NT by EW -460 95.5%
6 2 by NS 140 90.2%
7 6 by NS -100 59.8%
8 3 by EW -170 38.4%
9 4 by NS 420 81.5%
10 1NT by EW 100 85.8%
 
Feb 12 2019 Progress +1.1
1 3NT by NS 400 87.4%
2 2 by NS -100 43.3%
3 2 by EW 100 88.2%
4 4 by EW -650 97.4%
5 2 by NS -200 90.3%
6 4 by EW -620 100%
7 5 by EW 200 99%
8 2 by EW -140 28%
9 3 by EW 100 35.1%
10 5 by NS 620 69.4%
 
Feb 11 2019 Progress -5.2
1 2 by NS -50 28.7%
2 2 by EW -110 19.9%
Baygon2014 wrote First time I made assumed that the computer had some inkling of what a lead of the queen of hearts meant. Usually you lead a queen to set up your king - if the opposition holds the ace then you have lost nothing. Of course when your partner overtakes your queen with the ace you turn 3 tricks into two and they make.
5 card majors, Weak 2 bids, Strong NT, Transfers.
W
N
E
S

-
-
1N
P

2
P
2♠
P

P
P
Baygon2014 wrote Thanks Graeme - my error - I should have lead the king promising the queen so it was my error in the first place - egg on face yet again...
3 2 by EW -140 51.2%
4 5 by EW 200 99.1%
5 4 by NS -100 51.7%
6 4 by EW -620 93.3%
7 3NT by NS 600 85%
8 5 by NS 420 96.5%
9 3 by EW -170 98.1%
10 1NT by EW -120 51.6%